Back to Traders
FD
Consensus PnL $118K · win rate 38% (711–1168, n=1879) · was PM monthly #283 · holds 36 consensus positions
0xfd691577...6738a2e1Polymarket
⚖️Arb🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$118.0K
Record
711W / 1168L
Win Rate
38.0%
of 1879 settled
Batting Avg
50.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1514
Source
PM monthly #283
Record (90 d)
2/124 · 2%
Trades
1,346
Markets
2,673
Volume
$1.6M
Loading this trader’s full history
Large accounts take up to ~20 s
Loading positions and trades…
Top consensus positions
36 in listed consensus markets · 35 of 36 on the consensus side (97%)- Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes $62K · now 49¢ · in at 0¢with the consensus (100% of 11)
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No $9.0K · now 83¢ · in at 50¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes $2.6K · now 4¢ · in at 3¢with the consensus (100% of 36)
- Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes $2.0K · now 0¢ · in at 0¢with the consensus (100% of 15)
- Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes $1.1K · now 0¢ · in at 0¢with the consensus (100% of 9)
- Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes $1.1K · now 0¢ · in at 0¢with the consensus (100% of 20)
- Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes $189 · now 0¢ · in at 0¢with the consensus (100% of 20)
- Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes $188 · now 0¢ · in at 0¢with the consensus (100% of 23)