Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677Kaczkaomnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (10–9, n=19)52% (423–395, n=818)50% (14961–15011, n=29972)47% (13283–14790, n=28073)
Consensus PnL$5.6M$14K$3.0M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #997PM monthly #60PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (2 of 3 open)58% (81 of 139 open)50% (18 of 36 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +28 pts n=415, ROI +23%
  • NBA +29 pts n=40, ROI +25%
  • Soccer +26 pts n=83, ROI +17%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%84% of 546 at avg 56¢, ROI +22%92% of 11470 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 68% of 25)8% (won 60% of 899)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 72% of 121)21% (won 87% of 2444)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)62% (won 88% of 340)39% (won 95% of 4418)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)11% (won 92% of 60)32% (won 99% of 3709)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677Kaczkaomnibus-076daaRN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Talia Gibson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
opposite sides · consensus Aliaksandra Sasnovich
——Aliaksandra Sasnovich $180Talia Gibson $2.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $941
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $65No $1.5K
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B
opposite sides · consensus BetBoom Team
—BetBoom Team $670Liquid $474—
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $73No $662
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
—FURIA $473TheMongolz $147—
W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Aoi Ito
opposite sides · consensus Katie Swan
——Aoi Ito $38Katie Swan $281
W100 Incheon: Naho Sato vs Jia-Jing Lu
opposite sides · consensus Jia-Jing Lu
——Naho Sato $99Jia-Jing Lu $154
W100 Incheon: Yuki Naito vs Sara Saito
opposite sides · consensus Sara Saito
——Yuki Naito $9Sara Saito $228
W35 Hamamatsu: Haruna Arakawa vs Yuzuha Negishi
opposite sides · consensus Haruna Arakawa
——Haruna Arakawa $71Yuzuha Negishi $105
W50 Heraklion: Antonia Stoyanov vs Alisa Oktiabreva
opposite sides · consensus Alisa Oktiabreva
——Alisa Oktiabreva $65Antonia Stoyanov $19
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Katie Boulter
same side · consensus Katie Boulter
——Katie Boulter $68Katie Boulter $10K
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)
same side · consensus PARIVISION
—MOUZ $246MOUZ $2.4K—