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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferrariChampions2026 | joseph00677 | primm | smoltrader | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (11396–14488, n=25884) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 50% (1248–1261, n=2509) | 42% (974–1352, n=2326) |
| Consensus PnL | -$8.8M | $3.3M | $3.6M | $6.7K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #46 | was PM monthly #368 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (15 of 28 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (11 of 13 open) | 100% (11 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Science −21 pts, n=18 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 44% of 1625 at avg 45¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 49% (won 5% of 796) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 6% (won 34% of 102) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 7% (won 66% of 116) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 38% (won 93% of 611) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferrariChampions2026 | joseph00677 | primm | smoltrader |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2.0K | — | Over $16K | — |
| Spread: Bears (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Bears | Buccaneers $1.2K | — | Bears $10K | — |
| Spread: Bears (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Bears $6.4K | — | Buccaneers $407 | — |
| Spread: Bears (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Bears $295 | — | Buccaneers $92 | — |
| Spread: Bears (-13.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $28K | — | Buccaneers $8.5K | — |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $6.8K | — | Over $12K | — |