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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | primm | smoltrader | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (11687–15248, n=26935) | 55% (13164–10557, n=23721) | 47% (1389–1566, n=2955) | 42% (975–1353, n=2328) |
| Consensus PnL | -$9.5M | $1.9M | $3.6M | $6.7K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #39 | was PM monthly #368 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (7 of 10 open) | 72% (89 of 123 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (11 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | Science −21 pts, n=18 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 44% of 1625 at avg 45¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 49% (won 5% of 796) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 6% (won 34% of 102) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 7% (won 66% of 116) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 38% (won 93% of 611) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | primm | smoltrader |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | No $148 | Yes $2.7K | — | — |
| Matsuyama: Joel Schwaerzler vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong opposite sides · consensus Joel Schwaerzler | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong $12 | Joel Schwaerzler $2.3K | — | — |
| Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward Winter opposite sides · consensus Edward Winter | Alafia Ayeni $49 | Edward Winter $1.8K | — | — |
| Matsuyama: Keegan Smith vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu opposite sides · consensus Yu-Hsiou Hsu | Yu-Hsiou Hsu $299 | Keegan Smith $185 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | Under $13K | — | — |
| USC Trojans vs. Wichita State Shockers same side · consensus USC Trojans | USC Trojans $983 | USC Trojans $3.7K | — | — |
| Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh | Keisuke Saitoh $38 | Keisuke Saitoh $1.6K | — | — |