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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpprimmUdonsan
Record (consensus markets)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)82% (631–142, n=773)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$4.1M$3.6M$95K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #16PM monthly #46was PM monthly #992
Sides with the consensus74% (53 of 72 open)75% (138 of 185 open)100% (2 of 2 open)96% (50 of 52 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Weather −2 pts, n=100
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%87% of 375 at avg 84¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)5% (won 18% of 17)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)3% (won 10% of 10)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)6% (won 50% of 22)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)87% (won 95% of 326)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpprimmUdonsan
Raiders vs. 49ers
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
Raiders $1.3K—49ers $40K—
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $32KLakers $747——
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $32KCardinals $121——
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $19KOver $390——
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Bulls $12K76ers $781——
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $5.3KHeat $298——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $148Yes $2.7K——
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.2KUnder $387——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $115Under $297——