Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpprimmRobbb
Record (consensus markets)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)55% (13164–10557, n=23721)47% (1389–1566, n=2955)83% (2418–482, n=2900)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$1.9M$3.6M$96K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #39was PM monthly #996
Sides with the consensus71% (5 of 7 open)72% (92 of 128 open)no open consensus position78% (86 of 110 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—College Football −23 pts, n=36
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%83% of 1863 at avg 78¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)7% (won 10% of 139)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)6% (won 34% of 116)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)12% (won 68% of 220)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)75% (won 96% of 1388)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpprimmRobbb
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $148Yes $2.7K——
Matsuyama: Sho Katayama vs Shintaro Imai
opposite sides · consensus Shintaro Imai
Sho Katayama $187Shintaro Imai $1.3K——
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $71KCoco Gauff $3.1K——
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
Keisuke Saitoh $31KKeisuke Saitoh $6.1K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——