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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpicky777ndb1
Record (consensus markets)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)no settled market63% (1096–631, n=1727)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$4.1M$24K$4.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #16PM monthly #962PM monthly #108
Sides with the consensus62% (13 of 21 open)76% (74 of 97 open)100% (1 of 1 open)75% (76 of 102 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)—13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)—19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)—23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)—44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpicky777ndb1
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $148Yes $2.7K——
Matsuyama: Kosuke Ogura vs Hikaru Shiraishi
opposite sides · consensus Hikaru Shiraishi
Kosuke Ogura $1Hikaru Shiraishi $164——
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $91KCoco Gauff $17K——
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
Patrick Zahraj $65KPatrick Zahraj $5.9K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
Matsuyama: Luca Staeheli vs Takuya Kumasaka
same side · consensus Takuya Kumasaka
Takuya Kumasaka $1.5KTakuya Kumasaka $3.0K——
Brisbane 3: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Chase Ferguson
same side · consensus Sam Ryan Ziegann
Sam Ryan Ziegann $1.6KSam Ryan Ziegann $1.4K——
Brisbane 3: Bernard Tomic vs Blake Ellis
same side · consensus Bernard Tomic
Bernard Tomic $1.9KBernard Tomic $198——