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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | HBAFlover98 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (11687–15248, n=26935) | 55% (13164–10557, n=23721) | 39% (245–376, n=621) | 64% (1101–632, n=1733) |
| Consensus PnL | -$9.5M | $1.9M | -$250K | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #14 | was PM monthly #838 | PM monthly #109 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (5 of 10 open) | 72% (94 of 130 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (77 of 105 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | Esports −9 pts, n=99 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 39% of 550 at avg 39¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 30% (won 14% of 164) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 41% (won 42% of 227) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 21% (won 59% of 118) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 7% (won 71% of 41) | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | HBAFlover98 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | No $148 | Yes $2.7K | — | — |
| Matsuyama: Joel Schwaerzler vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong opposite sides · consensus Joel Schwaerzler | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong $34 | Joel Schwaerzler $1.9K | — | — |
| Matsuyama: Sho Katayama vs Shintaro Imai opposite sides · consensus Shintaro Imai | Sho Katayama $411 | Shintaro Imai $1.3K | — | — |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Coco Gauff | Coco Gauff $71K | Coco Gauff $3.1K | — | — |
| Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda same side · consensus Renta Tokuda | Keisuke Saitoh $31K | Keisuke Saitoh $5.3K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | Under $13K | — | — |
| Matsuyama: Keegan Smith vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu same side · consensus Yu-Hsiou Hsu | Keegan Smith $187 | Keegan Smith $4 | — | — |