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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788Flaznorphaveanedge.xyzkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)58% (15–11, n=26)71% (2084–849, n=2933)no settled market48% (500–537, n=1037)
Consensus PnL$645K$384K$0$457K
Tracked asPM monthly #34PM monthly #13PM monthly #722PM monthly #21
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)55% (93 of 170 open)no open consensus position72% (13 of 18 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won100% of 14 at avg 48¢, ROI +54%44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%—100% of 329 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 6% of 362)—6% (won 100% of 19)
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 100% of 7)21% (won 43% of 192)—36% (won 100% of 120)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 100% of 5)11% (won 64% of 103)—50% (won 100% of 166)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 95% of 239)—7% (won 100% of 24)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788Flaznorphaveanedge.xyzkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Norway (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Norway
—Wales $2.1K—Norway $16K
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2.3K—Under $14K
Japan vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.8K—Under $5.7K
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Denmark
—Portugal $1.0K—Denmark $3.5K
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Group C
opposite sides · consensus LGD Gaming
—LEGION $9—LGD Gaming $1.4K
Big Bash League, Women: Perth Scorchers vs Adelaide Strikers
opposite sides · consensus Adelaide Strikers
—Perth Scorchers $11—Adelaide Strikers $20
Seoul Thunders vs. Anyang
same side · consensus Seoul Thunders
—Anyang $300—Anyang $1.4K
M15 Monastir: Liam Gavrielides vs Julien Penzlin
same side · consensus Julien Penzlin
—Julien Penzlin $13—Julien Penzlin $799