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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788Flaznorphaveanedge.xyzHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)58% (15–11, n=26)71% (2084–849, n=2933)no settled market54% (448–384, n=832)
Consensus PnL$645K$384K$0$332K
Tracked asPM monthly #34PM monthly #13PM monthly #722PM monthly #9
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)55% (93 of 170 open)no open consensus position70% (81 of 115 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won100% of 14 at avg 48¢, ROI +54%44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%—100% of 212 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 6% of 362)—1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 100% of 7)21% (won 43% of 192)—32% (won 100% of 68)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 100% of 5)11% (won 64% of 103)—60% (won 100% of 127)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 95% of 239)—7% (won 100% of 15)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788Flaznorphaveanedge.xyzHomeRunHazard
Tulane Green Wave vs. Akron Zips: O/U 155.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $14—Under $986
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
—Duke $356—Miami (FL) $48
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $5.2K—Pelicans $7.7K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $296—Vikings $6.5K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $546—Seahawks $1.5K
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $388—Heat $1.1K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $174—Falcons $1.2K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Oklahoma State
—Texas Tech $26—Texas Tech $1.2K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49—Colts $1.1K