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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
duratio12ferrariChampions2026joseph00677primm
Record (consensus markets)44% (25–32, n=57)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)43% (10–13, n=23)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)
Consensus PnL$8.3K-$8.8M$3.3M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #866was PM monthly #87PM monthly #7PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position55% (16 of 29 open)no open consensus position85% (11 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won89% of 65 at avg 56¢, ROI +4%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 78% of 9)4% (won 97% of 237)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 79% of 19)26% (won 100% of 1446)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 95% of 19)40% (won 100% of 2198)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 100% of 18)30% (won 100% of 1675)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketduratio12ferrariChampions2026joseph00677primm
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.6K—Over $16K
Spread: Bears (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bears
—Buccaneers $1.5K—Bears $10K
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Bears $4.9K—Buccaneers $407
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Bears $295—Buccaneers $92
Spread: Bears (-13.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $28K—Buccaneers $8.5K
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $6.8K—Over $12K