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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| drainedandpoor | BreakTheBank | RN1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (514–627, n=1141) | 48% (12150–12996, n=25146) | 49% (839–863, n=1702) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $10.4M | $13.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #44 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #142 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 68% (27 of 40 open) | 63% (29 of 46 open) | 68% (13 of 19 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 99% of 795 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2478) | 5% (won 93% of 42) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 181) | 22% (won 94% of 5361) | 41% (won 99% of 325) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 34% (won 99% of 176) | 36% (won 99% of 8705) | 49% (won 99% of 390) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 105) | 31% (won 100% of 7425) | 5% (won 100% of 38) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | drainedandpoor | BreakTheBank | RN1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Packers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | — | Packers $253K | Panthers $1.4K | Packers $1.2K |
| Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $4.1K |
| Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas opposite sides · consensus North Texas | — | — | North Texas $3.0K | Florida Atlantic $1.8K |
| Spread: James Madison (-23.5) opposite sides · consensus James Madison | — | — | James Madison $2.5K | Troy $4 |
| Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 56.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $295 | Over $1.6K |
| Spread: Packers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | — | — | Panthers $13 | Packers $235 |
| Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas: O/U 71.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $784 | Over $5.7K |
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) same side · consensus Packers | — | — | Packers $6.0K | Packers $298 |
| Spread: North Texas (-17.5) same side · consensus Florida Atlantic | — | — | North Texas $1.6K | North Texas $1.9K |
| Spread: North Texas (-13.5) same side · consensus North Texas | — | — | North Texas $2.6K | North Texas $16 |