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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| dotethguy | rated | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 46% (227–267, n=494) | 49% (9610–10110, n=19720) | 67% (469–231, n=700) |
| Consensus PnL | — | -$1.8M | $13.3M | $10.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #615 | Hand-picked | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 44% (14 of 32 open) | 53% (17 of 32 open) | 76% (53 of 70 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | MLB −2 pts, n=17 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 98% of 5076 at avg 92¢, ROI −32% | 93% of 20810 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 471 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 5% (won 75% of 268) | 10% (won 53% of 2181) | 11% (won 87% of 52) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 1% (won 65% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 4645) | 34% (won 98% of 162) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 2% (won 90% of 100) | 37% (won 99% of 7657) | 33% (won 99% of 154) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 92% (won 100% of 4646) | 30% (won 100% of 6327) | 22% (won 100% of 103) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | dotethguy | rated | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | — | Kings $220 | Grizzlies $420K |
| Chiefs vs. Seahawks opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | — | — | Seahawks $28K | Chiefs $280K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | — | Kings $272 | Grizzlies $121K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | — | Kings $190 | Grizzlies $47K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | — | — | Seahawks $5.5K | Chiefs $40K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | — | Kings $73 | Grizzlies $24K |
| Spread: Seahawks (-2.5) same side · consensus Chiefs | — | — | Chiefs $5.9K | Chiefs $78K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $1 | — | No $20K |