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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| black-rabbit | BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (428–388, n=816) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 44% (11392–14477, n=25869) | 43% (10–13, n=23) |
| Consensus PnL | $411K | $7.7M | -$8.8M | $3.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #692 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 86% (37 of 43 open) | 73% (36 of 49 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 633 at avg 50¢, ROI +9% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 5% of 177) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 23% of 104) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 86% of 152) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 99% of 200) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | black-rabbit | BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans vs. Chargers opposite sides · consensus Texans | — | Chargers $294K | Texans $50K | — |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Patriots | — | Packers $143K | Patriots $10K | — |
| Spread: Texans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Chargers | — | Chargers $100K | Texans $41K | — |
| Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $14K | Under $8.2K | — |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks same side · consensus Seahawks | — | Seahawks $124K | Seahawks $29K | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) same side · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $103K | Bulls $9.8K | — |
| Spread: Texans (-4.5) same side · consensus Chargers | — | Chargers $3.9K | Chargers $33 | — |