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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
biying88888BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)58% (210–154, n=364)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)43% (10–13, n=23)
Consensus PnL-$5.7K$7.7M$4.1M$3.3M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997PM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus54% (7 of 13 open)86% (37 of 43 open)69% (85 of 124 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won100% of 112 at avg 49¢, ROI +49%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 100% of 61)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 100% of 50)35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 100% of 1)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbiying88888BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
76ers $2.1KBulls $103K76ers $958—
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $331Bulls $28776ers $716—
Packers vs. Patriots
same side · consensus Packers
Packers $1.4KPackers $104K——
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
same side · consensus Chargers
Chargers $1.4KChargers $100K——
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Chargers
Chargers $72Chargers $3.9K——
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $411—Over $2.3K—
Spread: 76ers (-11.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $356—76ers $161—