Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4FlaznorpprimmxxNyx
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6603–6153, n=12756)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)85% (1341–240, n=1581)
Consensus PnL—$3.7M$3.6M$88K
Tracked as—PM monthly #13PM monthly #47Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position66% (188 of 283 open)78% (7 of 9 open)93% (64 of 69 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Tech −1 pts, n=56
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%81% of 1891 at avg 79¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)13% (won 9% of 251)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)5% (won 52% of 91)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)6% (won 57% of 109)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)76% (won 97% of 1440)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4FlaznorpprimmxxNyx
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $146—Yes $3.8K
Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee
same side · consensus Middle Tennessee
—Middle Tennessee $1.2KMiddle Tennessee $5.1K—
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $100—No $2.5K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.4K—No $254
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $191—Yes $1.0K