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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4FlaznorpjeremyclarRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6506–6010, n=12516)44% (55–71, n=126)47% (14123–15612, n=29735)
Consensus PnL—$3.3M-$4.5K$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #24was PM monthly #871PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position72% (180 of 249 open)no open consensus position63% (20 of 32 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NBA −2 pts, n=55—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%45% of 105 at avg 48¢, ROI +3%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)2% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)69% (won 40% of 72)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)20% (won 43% of 21)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)10% (won 90% of 10)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4FlaznorpjeremyclarRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14K—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $572—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen
opposite sides · consensus Otto Virtanen
—Laslo Djere $325—Otto Virtanen $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig
opposite sides · consensus Matej Dodig
—Matej Dodig $449—Tom Gentzsch $29
M25 Heraklion: Robert Guna vs Robin Bertrand
opposite sides · consensus Robin Bertrand
—Robert Guna $83—Robin Bertrand $172
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $14—Under $181
Rolex Paris Masters: Rinky Hijikata vs Tomas Etcheverry
opposite sides · consensus Rinky Hijikata
—Tomas Etcheverry $62—Rinky Hijikata $4
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $28
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Vaishnavi Adkar
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
—Anastasia Zakharova $11K—Anastasia Zakharova $13K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Taranto: Sumit Nagal vs Hugo Grenier
same side · consensus Sumit Nagal
—Sumit Nagal $4.0K—Sumit Nagal $2.3K
Luanda: Madhurima Sawant vs Noma Noha Akugue
same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
—Noma Noha Akugue $20—Noma Noha Akugue $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9—Over $1.5K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $127—Yes $176
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174—Under $42
Will Xorazm Fk Urganch win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $203—No $3