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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4CUTJALENHURTSndb1
Record (consensus markets)67% (43–21, n=64)52% (5414–4963, n=10377)66% (876–458, n=1334)
Consensus PnL$6.1M$687K$4.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #24PM monthly #120PM monthly #26
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)61% (67 of 109 open)72% (28 of 39 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicNBA −6 pts, n=93Other Sports −1 pts, n=164NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%54% of 10253 at avg 51¢, ROI +3%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 17% of 6)13% (won 19% of 1347)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢30% (won 57% of 63)35% (won 46% of 3634)20% (won 40% of 253)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 61% of 3558)24% (won 57% of 310)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 86% of 29)17% (won 86% of 1714)43% (won 93% of 544)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4CUTJALENHURTSndb1
Will the Phoenix Suns make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $602Yes $420
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $65Yes $525
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1Yes $191
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $15KYes $324K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
—No $15KNo $94K
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $297Yes $62K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.8KYes $12K
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
—No $345No $3.1K
Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.3KNo $6
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1Yes $454
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
—No $26No $5