Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00beachboy4CUTJALENHURTSndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market52% (5356–4917, n=10273)65% (885–467, n=1352)
Consensus PnL——$604K$4.2M
Tracked as——PM monthly #53PM monthly #21
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position65% (81 of 124 open)80% (28 of 35 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic——Other Sports −1 pts, n=164NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won——54% of 10253 at avg 51¢, ROI +3%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢——13% (won 19% of 1347)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢——35% (won 46% of 3634)20% (won 40% of 253)
Entries 50–70¢——35% (won 61% of 3558)24% (won 57% of 310)
Entries 70¢ and up——17% (won 86% of 1714)43% (won 93% of 544)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00beachboy4CUTJALENHURTSndb1
Will the Phoenix Suns make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $626Yes $420
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $65Yes $529
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $1Yes $160
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $290Yes $63K
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
——No $345No $3.1K
Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?
same side · consensus No
——No $3.3KNo $6
Will Tampa Bay Lightning be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $700Yes $3
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
——No $26No $5