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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| basedcigani | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (241–150, n=391) | 43% (11687–15248, n=26935) | 55% (13164–10557, n=23721) | 43% (10–13, n=23) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1K | -$9.5M | $1.9M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 72% (89 of 123 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Tech −1 pts, n=10 | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 73% of 457 at avg 72¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 26% (won 7% of 120) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 67% of 15) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 64% of 14) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 100% of 308) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | basedcigani | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $148 | Yes $2.7K | — |
| Matsuyama: Joel Schwaerzler vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong opposite sides · consensus Joel Schwaerzler | — | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong $29 | Joel Schwaerzler $2.2K | — |
| Matsuyama: Keegan Smith vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu opposite sides · consensus Yu-Hsiou Hsu | — | Yu-Hsiou Hsu $847 | Keegan Smith $154 | — |
| Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh | — | Keisuke Saitoh $31K | Keisuke Saitoh $5.5K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | Under $13K | — |
| Brisbane 3: Bernard Tomic vs Blake Ellis same side · consensus Bernard Tomic | — | Bernard Tomic $2.5K | Bernard Tomic $1.1K | — |