PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SunflowaRebuildYearsainttroplayRN1primm
Record (consensus markets)71% (5–2, n=7)71% (10–4, n=14)48% (12168–13017, n=25185)49% (839–863, n=1702)
Consensus PnL$7.1K$4.4M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #464was PM monthly #11PM monthly #23 + pinnedPM monthly #143
Sides with the consensus64% (9 of 14 open)no open consensus position52% (23 of 44 open)79% (11 of 14 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 795 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—0%10% (won 56% of 2478)5% (won 93% of 42)
Entries 30–50¢—50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5361)41% (won 99% of 325)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8705)49% (won 99% of 390)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%31% (won 100% of 7425)5% (won 100% of 38)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSunflowaRebuildYearsainttroplayRN1primm
Spread: Packers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
Panthers $500—Packers $2.3KPackers $2.0K
Spread: Packers (-6.5)
same side · consensus Panthers
Panthers $532—Panthers $456Panthers $2.5K
Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $909——Over $9.4K
Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $52——Over $7.5K
Spread: Packers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
——Panthers $1.1KPackers $235
Panthers vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
——Packers $13KPackers $3.3K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
——Packers $12KPackers $313
Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic $560——Florida Atlantic $2.4K
Spread: Packers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Packers
Packers $598——Packers $1.2K
Spread: Panthers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
——Panthers $5Panthers $66