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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SunflowaRebuildYear | beachboy4 | RN1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (5–2, n=7) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12168–13017, n=25185) | 49% (839–863, n=1702) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.1K | $5.8M | $13.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #464 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #23 + pinned | PM monthly #143 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (9 of 14 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 51% (22 of 43 open) | 79% (11 of 14 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 99% of 795 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2478) | 5% (won 93% of 42) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5361) | 41% (won 99% of 325) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8705) | 49% (won 99% of 390) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7425) | 5% (won 100% of 38) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SunflowaRebuildYear | beachboy4 | RN1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Packers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Panthers | Panthers $500 | — | Packers $2.3K | Packers $2.0K |
| Spread: Packers (-6.5) same side · consensus Panthers | Panthers $532 | — | Panthers $456 | Panthers $2.5K |
| Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 50.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $909 | — | — | Over $9.4K |
| Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $52 | — | — | Over $7.5K |
| Spread: Packers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Panthers | — | — | Panthers $1.1K | Packers $235 |
| Panthers vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | — | — | Packers $13K | Packers $3.3K |
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) same side · consensus Packers | — | — | Packers $12K | Packers $313 |
| Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas same side · consensus Florida Atlantic | Florida Atlantic $560 | — | — | Florida Atlantic $2.4K |
| Spread: Packers (-3.5) same side · consensus Packers | Packers $598 | — | — | Packers $1.2K |
| Spread: Panthers (-2.5) same side · consensus Packers | — | — | Panthers $5 | Panthers $66 |