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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
NagastaBagambiprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)43% (22–29, n=51)50% (1082–1097, n=2179)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)
Consensus PnL$20K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #890PM monthly #51PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position66% (25 of 38 open)59% (149 of 254 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won96% of 24 at avg 35¢, ROI +65%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢38% (won 100% of 9)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 92% of 13)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 100% of 2)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up0%5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketNagastaBagambiprimmRN1
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $417Central Michigan $12K
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $2.5KUMass $1.0K
Spread: Toledo (-27.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $2.2KSacramento State $800
Spread: Toledo (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—Sacramento State $80Toledo $2.9K
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $797Over $2.1K
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.5KUnder $3
Spread: Toledo (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $1.7KSacramento State $765
Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $1.4KCentral Michigan $815
Spread: Toledo (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $298Sacramento State $1.4K
Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.5KUnder $101
Spread: Central Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $984Central Michigan $583
Spread: Toledo (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $1.0KSacramento State $463
Spread: UMass (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $900UMass $374
Spread: UMass (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $480UMass $457
Spread: Toledo (-30.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $243Sacramento State $462
Spread: Toledo (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $142Sacramento State $181
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 37.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $205Over $52
Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $161Central Michigan $49
Spread: Central Michigan (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Central Michigan $6Eastern Michigan $4
Spread: Ball State (-2.5)
same side · consensus UMass
—UMass $3.0KUMass $804
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.6KOver $179
Spread: Toledo (-13.5)
same side · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $2.0KToledo $676
Spread: Toledo (-33.5)
same side · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $1.5KToledo $377
Spread: Toledo (-20.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $438Toledo $773
Spread: Toledo (-23.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $176Toledo $429
Spread: Toledo (-9.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $2Toledo $582
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 37.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $182Under $11