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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| NagastaBagambi | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 40% (23–34, n=57) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 49% (1224–1251, n=2475) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) |
| Consensus PnL | $19K | $4.8M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #890 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #52 | PM monthly #33 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 73% (111 of 153 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 63% (40 of 63 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 25 at avg 35¢, ROI +65% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 36% (won 100% of 9) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 56% (won 93% of 14) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 100% of 2) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | NagastaBagambi | ndb1 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bengals (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bengals | — | — | Falcons $1.6K | Bengals $33 |
| Spread: Bengals (-3.5) same side · consensus Bengals | — | — | Falcons $9.6K | Falcons $5.0K |
| Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | — | No $7.4K | — | No $10 |