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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpNagastaBagambiprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6569–6087, n=12656)41% (23–33, n=56)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$20K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #10was PM monthly #890PM monthly #48PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus72% (98 of 136 open)no open consensus position53% (9 of 17 open)56% (44 of 79 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%96% of 25 at avg 35¢, ROI +65%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)36% (won 100% of 9)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)56% (won 93% of 14)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)8% (won 100% of 2)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)0%5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpNagastaBagambiprimmRN1
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
Southern Miss $60—Southern Miss $32Southern Miss $365
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.6K
Spread: Jaguars (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $9.7KJaguars $1.7K
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 30.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $5.8KOver $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $586——Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $2.4KUTSA $302
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Spread: Suns (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Magic $770——Suns $1.6K
Spread: Magic (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Magic $990——Suns $1.1K
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus James Madison
——James Madison $1.6KSouthern Miss $477
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.8KOver $253
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $1.4K——Warriors $510
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476——Under $1.3K
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $325Over $935
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $466——No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
Diletta Cherubini $281——Ipek Oz $698
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $559——Under $245
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $560Jaguars $174
Spread: Magic (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Magic $145——Suns $27
W35 Hamamatsu: Kanon Sawashiro vs Mio Mushika
opposite sides · consensus Kanon Sawashiro
Mio Mushika $2——Kanon Sawashiro $48
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic $143—Florida Atlantic $41K—
Jaguars vs. Ravens
same side · consensus Jaguars
Jaguars $305——Jaguars $17K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. South Alabama Jaguars
same side · consensus South Alabama Jaguars
South Alabama Jaguars $7.5K——South Alabama Jaguars $117
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Omar Jasika
same side · consensus Yuta Shimizu
Yuta Shimizu $3.5K——Yuta Shimizu $342
Spread: Jaguars (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
——Ravens $230Ravens $1.8K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
——Ravens $1.1KRavens $654
Ducks vs. Oilers
same side · consensus Oilers
Oilers $406——Oilers $686
South Florida Bulls vs. DePaul Blue Demons
same side · consensus DePaul Blue Demons
DePaul Blue Demons $670——DePaul Blue Demons $391
Spread: Suns (-7.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Magic $473——Magic $376
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $346——Under $338
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $472——Heat $110
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $317——Magic $40
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $139——Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $176——Under $42
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Warriors $101——Warriors $87
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Ducks
Ducks $10——Ducks $69
Spread: Oilers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Ducks
Oilers $21——Oilers $13