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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
MadridTimeprimmRN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)51% (797–781, n=1578)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)no settled market
Consensus PnL-$13K$3.6M$14.8M—
Tracked asPM monthly #517PM monthly #51PM monthly #28 + pinned—
Sides with the consensus46% (25 of 54 open)67% (2 of 3 open)62% (96 of 156 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +48 pts n=71, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=369, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +21 pts n=32, ROI +21%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 26)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)—
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 100% of 85)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)—
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 100% of 94)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)—
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 100% of 296)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketMadridTimeprimmRN1sainttroplay
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
Tomas Machac $8.8K—Arthur Fils $11K—
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra
opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
Leyre Romero Gormaz $2.3K—Solana Sierra $476—
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $210—Yes $378—
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $5—Yes $104—
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $32K—No $6.5K—
Cali: Despina Papamichail vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Renata Zarazua
Renata Zarazua $16K—Renata Zarazua $18K—
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
No $11K—No $148—
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)
same side · consensus Real Madrid CF
AEK $5.0K—AEK $5.2K—
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
Nishesh Basavareddy $357—Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K—
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $3.0K—No $3.4K—
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
same side · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
Eduardo Ribeiro $646—Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K—
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $336—Under $1.4K—
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
Yes $539—Yes $250—