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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
LooksMaxxingxprimmRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)51% (894–864, n=1758)50% (1248–1260, n=2508)48% (17936–19365, n=37301)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$30K$3.6M$14.9M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #750PM monthly #47PM monthly #27 + pinnedPM monthly #72
Sides with the consensus50% (4 of 8 open)55% (6 of 11 open)49% (37 of 75 open)50% (2 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +45 pts n=545, ROI +44%
  • NBA +49 pts n=32, ROI +45%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=212, ROI +40%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic———Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won99% of 868 at avg 55¢, ROI +43%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 39)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 98% of 209)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢56% (won 99% of 482)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 99% of 138)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketLooksMaxxingxprimmRN1S-Works
Raiders vs. 49ers
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—49ers $85KRaiders $34—
Cardinals vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $9.1KOver $3.4K—
Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $1.6KSeahawks $2.5K—
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Cardinals $247Seahawks $2.4K—
Packers vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $803Over $1.8K—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
same side · consensus T1
Bilibili Gaming $3.6K——Bilibili Gaming $115K
Packers vs. Patriots
same side · consensus Packers
—Packers $76KPackers $4.0K—