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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighPuckaBegemota
Record (consensus markets)54% (448–384, n=832)48% (503–539, n=1042)77% (10–3, n=13)
Consensus PnL$332K$462K$25K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #21PM monthly #836
Sides with the consensus69% (87 of 127 open)59% (19 of 32 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 212 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 329 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%—
Entries under 30¢1% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 100% of 19)—
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 100% of 68)36% (won 100% of 120)—
Entries 50–70¢60% (won 100% of 127)50% (won 100% of 166)—
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 15)7% (won 100% of 24)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighPuckaBegemota
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
Kraken $41Hurricanes $34K—
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.5KOver $3.4K—
Spread: Kentucky (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida
Florida $19Kentucky $1.2K—
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)
same side · consensus Red Wings
Lightning $783Lightning $10K—
Spread: James Madison (-5.5)
same side · consensus UConn
UConn $2.5KUConn $622—
Texas vs. LSU
same side · consensus LSU
LSU $205LSU $1.8K—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $156Pistons $1.4K—
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
same side · consensus Miami (FL)
Miami (FL) $48Miami (FL) $145—