Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpprimmRN1SAPolitcsSeer
Record (consensus markets)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)48% (14146–15606, n=29752)93% (107–8, n=115)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$3.6M$14.8M$117K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #52PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #565
Sides with the consensus74% (139 of 187 open)no open consensus position63% (32 of 51 open)100% (3 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——Geopolitics −1 pts, n=40
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%98% of 112 at avg 94¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)0%
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 418)22% (won 94% of 5682)0%
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)49% (won 99% of 504)35% (won 99% of 9181)1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)99% (won 98% of 111)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpprimmRN1SAPolitcsSeer
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.6K—
Will FC UTA Arad win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $13K—Yes $215—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $600—Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476—Under $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471—No $529—
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
Diletta Cherubini $287—Ipek Oz $680—
Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Aidan Mayo
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
Aidan Mayo $260—Max Hans Rehberg $232—
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $201—Under $75—
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
76ers $188—Cavaliers $2—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $31—No $12—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $2.4K—No $13K—
Will FC Petrolul Ploieşti win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $5.4K—No $1.3K—
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.1K—Over $3.0K—
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.7K—Under $241—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Will Bursaspor win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $883—No $815—
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
same side · consensus Zsombor Piros
Zsombor Piros $336—Zsombor Piros $960—
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $291—No $841—
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $318—Under $481—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20—
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lucrezia Stefanini
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
Anastasia Zakharova $176—Anastasia Zakharova $314—
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Kings $361—Kings $111—
Sariyer SK leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $322—No $135—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $139—Yes $192—
Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
same side · consensus Carlo Alberto Caniato
Carlo Alberto Caniato $11—Carlo Alberto Caniato $304—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177—Under $42—
Exact Score: Antalyaspor 1 - 0 Bursaspor?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $199—Yes $18—