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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1sainttroplaywhosay
Record (consensus markets)53% (5919–5290, n=11209)65% (882–468, n=1350)no settled market58% (1087–777, n=1864)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$4.2M—-$49K
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #143—PM monthly #648
Sides with the consensus70% (174 of 248 open)78% (25 of 32 open)no open consensus position50% (4 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—Tennis −3 pts, n=691
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%—58% of 2081 at avg 59¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)—11% (won 16% of 239)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)—26% (won 35% of 547)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)—28% (won 58% of 583)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)—34% (won 88% of 712)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1sainttroplaywhosay
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.7K——Yes $157
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $785——Yes $724
Exact Score: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Fayha Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $47——Yes $1.2K
Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $781——Yes $251
Exact Score: Abha Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Shabab Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $83——Yes $830
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $52——Over $772
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
same side · consensus Team Falcons
Natus Vincere $34——Natus Vincere $531