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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1RN1SAPolitcsSeer
Record (consensus markets)52% (6451–6050, n=12501)63% (992–576, n=1568)48% (14167–15640, n=29807)93% (107–8, n=115)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$4.8M$14.8M$117K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #96PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #564
Sides with the consensus73% (120 of 165 open)69% (52 of 75 open)58% (19 of 33 open)100% (3 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=144—Geopolitics −1 pts, n=40
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%98% of 112 at avg 94¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 186)10% (won 57% of 2593)0%
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 267)22% (won 94% of 5682)0%
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 58% of 326)35% (won 99% of 9181)1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 619)33% (won 100% of 8519)99% (won 98% of 111)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1RN1SAPolitcsSeer
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $354—Over $3.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476—Under $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $466—No $529—
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
Diletta Cherubini $291—Ipek Oz $685—
Will Maccabi Petah Tikva FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $47—No $627—
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $101—Under $492—
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Noma Noha Akugue
opposite sides · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
Noma Noha Akugue $82—Justina Mikulskyte $3—
Luanda: Ksenia Zaytseva vs Gina Feistel
same side · consensus Gina Feistel
Gina Feistel $13K—Gina Feistel $16K—
Luanda: Sofya Lansere vs Martyna Kubka
same side · consensus Sofya Lansere
Sofya Lansere $1.9K—Sofya Lansere $16K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
Will Madura United win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.9K—No $5.8K—
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi
same side · consensus Robin Montgomery
Robin Montgomery $3.1K—Robin Montgomery $407—
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.0K—Under $478—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20—
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $239—Over $241—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $139—Yes $192—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $176—Under $42—
Madura United vs. Arema FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $53—Under $5—