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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1NewshoundRN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)65% (889–469, n=1358)71% (701–282, n=983)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$4.2M$64K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #17PM monthly #139PM monthly #876PM monthly #26 + pinned
Sides with the consensus66% (282 of 429 open)73% (33 of 45 open)36% (9 of 25 open)62% (180 of 291 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%72% of 968 at avg 60¢, ROI +9%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)23% (won 23% of 218)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)13% (won 64% of 122)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)17% (won 76% of 169)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)47% (won 95% of 459)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

89 on the same side, 65 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1NewshoundRN1
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $58K——Yes $12K
Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $16K——Yes $7.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.5K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.0K——No $13K
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $10K——Over $12
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.2K——No $9.0K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 1 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.3K——No $8.8K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.1K——No $8.8K
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $8.6K——Under $12
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $8.2K——No $66
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 3 - 2 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $380——No $7.4K
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.1K——Over $3.1K
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $4.5K——Under $1.9K
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.0K——Over $1.7K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 3 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $83——No $4.6K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 3 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $45——No $4.5K
PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.9K——Under $1.6K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 1 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $628——No $3.9K
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.2K——Over $16
Costa do Sauipe: Lautaro Midon vs Tomas Barrios
opposite sides · consensus Lautaro Midon
Tomas Barrios $134——Lautaro Midon $4.0K
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 2 - 2 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.6K——No $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K——Over $2.4K
Viking FK vs. Sabah FK: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.0K——Over $61
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $317——No $2.6K
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K——Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.1K——Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $35
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 1 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.6K——Yes $24
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2.3K——Yes $35
Como 1907 leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.3K——No $734
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.8K——Under $29
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.7K——Under $6
Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.0K——Over $638
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 2 - 3 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $36——No $1.5K
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 2 - 1 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $189——No $1.4K
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 3 - 3 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $23——No $1.5K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $237——No $1.3K
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $18——No $1.5K
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.4K——Yes $63
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 0 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.0K——No $238
Exact Score: FC Porto 1 - 1 SSC Napoli?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $918——No $273
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 1 - 0 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K——Yes $19
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $486——No $529
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $713——Over $268
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $213——No $677
Exact Score: Bristol City FC 1 - 0 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $717——Yes $7
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $607——Yes $106
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Wizards $220——Hawks $426
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-09-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $553——No $91