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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorplivesportinsndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)56% (9–7, n=16)63% (990–573, n=1563)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)
Consensus PnL$3.5M-$2.5K$3.2M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #21was PM monthly #982PM monthly #106PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus70% (195 of 278 open)100% (1 of 1 open)74% (82 of 111 open)60% (73 of 121 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%56% of 16 at avg 48¢, ROI +8%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)6% (won 0% of 1)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)69% (won 55% of 11)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)25% (won 75% of 4)24% (won 58% of 314)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)0%43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

45 on the same side, 33 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorplivesportinsndb1RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.5K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $8.6K——Under $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K——Yes $1.9K
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
Olympique de Marseille $5.6K——Bayer 04 Leverkusen $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $586——Over $3.3K
Spread: SC União Torreense (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ararat-Armenia FA
SC União Torreense $1.1K——Ararat-Armenia FA $2.1K
Will NK Celje win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.7K——Yes $437
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $315——No $2.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. OFI: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Under $1.8K
Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Valerio Aboian
opposite sides · consensus Federico Coria
Valerio Aboian $6——Federico Coria $2.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Spread: FC København (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus SK Iberia 1999
FC København $1.1K——SK Iberia 1999 $862
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.8K——No $19
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 2 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5K——Yes $248
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476——Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5K——Yes $134
Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5K——Yes $107
Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia
PFK CSKA Sofia $1.4K——Panathinaikós AO $4
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.4K——No $12
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.1K——Under $210
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466——No $529
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $673——Yes $126
Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moeller
opposite sides · consensus Elmer Moeller
Elmer Moeller $387——Joao Lucas Da Silva $32
FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $114——Under $234
Will FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $327——Yes $9
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
Julio Cesar Porras $60——Ivan Gakhov $238
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $108——Warriors $130
Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $167——Over $48
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $173——Over $10
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $11——Yes $151
W75 Petange: Isis Louise Van den Broek vs Anna Siskova
opposite sides · consensus Isis Louise Van den Broek
Anna Siskova $60——Isis Louise Van den Broek $88
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7——Over $29
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $49K——No $28K
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $47K——No $20K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $30K——Yes $14K
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
same side · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
Sport Lisboa e Benfica $21K——Sport Lisboa e Benfica $16K
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
—No $18No $24K—
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $9.0K——Under $11K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $11K——Under $4.7K
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $11K——No $1.8K
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $4.0K——Under $8.8K
AZ vs. Juventus FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $4.4K——Under $5.9K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $4.6K——Under $4.3K
Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $3.4K——Bianca Andreescu $4.1K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $5.4K——Under $2.1K
Will FC København win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.0K——Yes $3.7K
Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $5.5K——Under $9
SC União Torreense vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.4K——Under $2.7K