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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMatheobongRN1
Record (consensus markets)49% (89–91, n=180)43% (98–132, n=230)no settled market46% (152–176, n=328)
Consensus PnL$39K$196K—-$51K
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #29PM monthly #280PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (28 of 42 open)67% (6 of 9 open)no open consensus position50% (3 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
not computed yet
Weakest topicSoccer −8 pts, n=40———
Settled positions, side won44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%—100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢34% (won 10% of 30)6% (won 100% of 9)—1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 29% of 17)42% (won 100% of 63)—26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 55% of 11)40% (won 100% of 61)—40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up34% (won 83% of 30)12% (won 100% of 18)—33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMatheobongRN1
Matsuyama: Kasidit Samrej vs Yuta Shimizu
opposite sides · consensus Yuta Shimizu
Kasidit Samrej $3.3KYuta Shimizu $16K—Kasidit Samrej $8.1K
Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Portland Pilots
Portland Pilots $3.0KHawaii Rainbow Warriors $16—Hawaii Rainbow Warriors $11
Matsuyama: Shintaro Imai vs Fajing Sun
same side · consensus Fajing Sun
Fajing Sun $463Fajing Sun $2.2K—Fajing Sun $2.0K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alexander Shevchenko
opposite sides · consensus Alexander Shevchenko
Alexander Shevchenko $345Adrian Mannarino $3.2K——
Portland Pilots vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: O/U 157.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $78——Over $44
Portland Pilots vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
same side · consensus Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors $4.2K——Hawaii Rainbow Warriors $619
Brisbane 3: Enzo Aguiard vs Akira Santillan
same side · consensus Akira Santillan
—Akira Santillan $4—Akira Santillan $1.6K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
Lorenzo Sonego $205Lorenzo Sonego $437——