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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | joseph00677 | RN1 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6524–6030, n=12554) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 48% (14139–15621, n=29760) | 88% (21–3, n=24) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $5.3M | $14.8M | $346K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | PM monthly #71 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (216 of 296 open) | no open consensus position | 57% (86 of 150 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 15 at avg 59¢, ROI +46% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 27% (won 100% of 4) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 47% (won 100% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 27% (won 100% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
55 on the same side, 39 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | RN1 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | Over $1.5K | — |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $8.6K | — | Under $5 | — |
| Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille | Olympique de Marseille $6.8K | — | Bayer 04 Leverkusen $7 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.4K | — | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $586 | — | Over $3.3K | — |
| Spread: SC União Torreense (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Ararat-Armenia FA | SC União Torreense $554 | — | Ararat-Armenia FA $2.6K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 | — |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.0K | — | No $256 | — |
| Will Celtic FC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.4K | — | No $770 | — |
| Spread: FC København (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus SK Iberia 1999 | FC København $1.0K | — | SK Iberia 1999 $862 | — |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 2 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.5K | — | Yes $248 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $476 | — | Under $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia | PFK CSKA Sofia $1.7K | — | Panathinaikós AO $4 | — |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.5K | — | Yes $134 | — |
| SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.3K | — | Under $342 | — |
| Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.4K | — | Yes $138 | — |
| Spread: FC Lugano (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus FC Lugano | FC Lugano $1.5K | — | FK Kauno Žalgiris $11 | — |
| FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.4K | — | Over $8 | — |
| Juventus FC leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $877 | — | Yes $544 | — |
| K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $645 | — | Over $675 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $466 | — | No $529 | — |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | No $673 | — | Yes $184 | — |
| Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $801 | — | Yes $1 | — |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $187 | — | Over $422 | — |
| M25 Guadalajara: Jesse Flores vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez opposite sides · consensus Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez $551 | — | Jesse Flores $53 | — |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $515 | — | No $59 | — |
| Will FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $446 | — | Yes $9 | — |
| FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $338 | — | Over $101 | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moeller opposite sides · consensus Elmer Moeller | Elmer Moeller $387 | — | Joao Lucas Da Silva $32 | — |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $374 | — | Over $10 | — |
| FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $122 | — | Under $234 | — |
| M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov | Julio Cesar Porras $60 | — | Ivan Gakhov $238 | — |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | No $12 | — | Yes $267 | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $108 | — | Warriors $130 | — |
| W50 Huamantla: Victoria Rodriguez vs Maria Sholokhova opposite sides · consensus Maria Sholokhova | Maria Sholokhova $4 | — | Victoria Rodriguez $173 | — |
| W75 Petange: Isis Louise Van den Broek vs Anna Siskova opposite sides · consensus Isis Louise Van den Broek | Anna Siskova $60 | — | Isis Louise Van den Broek $88 | — |
| Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $31 | — | Under $25 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $7 | — | Over $29 | — |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $49K | — | No $28K | — |
| Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $47K | — | No $20K | — |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $33K | — | Yes $15K | — |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $12K | — | Under $11K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | No $2.5K | — |
| Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $12K | — | No $2.2K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud same side · consensus Casper Ruud | Casper Ruud $7.7K | — | Casper Ruud $6.4K | — |
| AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $3.9K | — | Under $8.4K | — |
| Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $8.6K | — | Under $2.8K | — |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $5.5K | — | Under $4.3K | — |
| Will FC København win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5.9K | — | Yes $3.7K | — |