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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677Multicoloured-SerfRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6473–6009, n=12482)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (266–304, n=570)48% (14112–15590, n=29702)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$5.3M-$145K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #23PM monthly #2PM monthly #21PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus74% (103 of 139 open)no open consensus position59% (13 of 22 open)50% (22 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)0% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)47% (won 100% of 100)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)47% (won 100% of 101)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)6% (won 100% of 13)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677Multicoloured-SerfRN1
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $440—Heat $125Warriors $109
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
same side · consensus SE Palmeiras
SE Palmeiras $29K—SE Palmeiras $1.7KSE Palmeiras $14K
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $12—Under $66Under $156
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K——Yes $1.9K
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $5.3K——Yes $23
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $586——Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.0K——No $9
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.8K——Yes $41
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476——Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466——No $529
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $886——Under $81
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $552——Over $240
Rubio Nu vs. Sportivo Luqueno: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $451——Over $230
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 1 - 0 Clube do Remo?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $318——No $359
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 2 - 2 Clube do Remo?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $40——No $182
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $141——Over $69
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $145—Yes $14—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $104——Over $18
Clube do Remo leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $25——Yes $2
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $581——Over $826
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $1.3K——No $63
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $538——Under $35
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $8——Under $323
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $138——Yes $192
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Warriors $174——Warriors $97
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $35——Under $225
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $176——Under $42
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 3 - 2 Clube do Remo?
same side · consensus No
Yes $8——Yes $77
SE Palmeiras leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $56——No $12