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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpgoogleplayrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18Secondhandvinyl
Record (consensus markets)72% (1945–745, n=2690)50% (6–6, n=12)59% (40–28, n=68)91% (163–17, n=180)
Consensus PnL$410K$423K$532K$897
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #20PM monthly #15 + pinnedPM monthly #981
Sides with the consensus54% (128 of 236 open)0% (0 of 1 open)50% (6 of 12 open)100% (4 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +45 pts n=29, ROI +40%
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=381———
Settled positions, side won44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%100% of 39 at avg 57¢, ROI +38%100% of 163 at avg 91¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 362)0%3% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 43% of 192)17% (won 100% of 1)33% (won 100% of 13)1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 103)83% (won 100% of 5)44% (won 100% of 17)3% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 95% of 239)0%21% (won 100% of 8)94% (won 100% of 154)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpgoogleplayrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18Secondhandvinyl
Thunder vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Clippers $1.7K—Thunder $248K—
Spread: Rockets (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $4.5KRockets $50K——
Warriors vs. Spurs
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Spurs $8.2K—Warriors $3.1K—
Will Guatemala win on 2026-11-13?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $782——No $1.0K
Will Canada win on 2026-11-13?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $71K——Yes $954
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Thunder $358—Thunder $7.3K—
Guatemala vs. Canada: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6K——Under $240