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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpLeopoldAschenboogerprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)55% (13369–10733, n=24102)no settled market47% (1430–1597, n=3027)48% (19694–21447, n=41141)
Consensus PnL$1.4M-$45K$3.7M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #14was PM monthly #899PM monthly #41PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus68% (97 of 143 open)11% (1 of 9 open)no open consensus position57% (17 of 30 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicNFL −24 pts, n=12———
Settled positions, side won56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%—99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 9% of 919)—5% (won 95% of 59)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 37% of 455)—40% (won 99% of 512)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 63% of 439)—50% (won 100% of 633)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 94% of 1302)—5% (won 100% of 65)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpLeopoldAschenboogerprimmRN1
Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev
opposite sides · consensus Adrian Andreev
Adrian Andreev $3.4K——Nikita Mashtakov $23K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $12K——Over $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $872——Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446——Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873——Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $491——No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837——Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $256——No $12
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.4K
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
Billy Harris $1.7K——Billy Harris $6.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9——Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95——Under $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751——Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $721——Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173——Yes $240
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $182——Cavaliers $119
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $203——Under $41
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $51——Over $29
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
No $3——No $19