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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpJudgeLanceRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6403–5995, n=12398)67% (33–16, n=49)48% (14153–15617, n=29770)
Consensus PnL$3.6M-$36K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #495PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus75% (225 of 302 open)no open consensus position56% (80 of 142 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NBA −16 pts, n=13—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%60% of 68 at avg 60¢, ROI +3%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)1% (won 0% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 50% of 4)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)71% (won 54% of 48)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)22% (won 87% of 15)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

56 on the same side, 36 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpJudgeLanceRN1
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $16K—Yes $45
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $11K—Over $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.9K—Over $3
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.8K—Over $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7
Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC vs. Palermo FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.6K—Under $19
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36
Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.5K—Over $3
Will SK Rapid win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.6K—No $877
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475—Under $1.3K
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $61—Yes $1.4K
Hammarby IF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Over $7
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. FC Sochaux-Montbéliard: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.1K—Over $43
Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.0K—Over $28
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471—No $529
Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $849—Under $9
Montpellier HSC vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $847—Under $1
Everton FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $315—Under $464
US Boulogne Côte d'Opale vs. FC Annecy: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $48—Over $727
Will En Avant Guingamp win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $662—Yes $6
Exact Score: FC Argeș Pitești 1 - 0 Dinamo 1948?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $211—No $436
Will Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $425—No $210
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato
opposite sides · consensus Facundo Acosta
Facundo Acosta $558—Marco Cecchinato $9
Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sevilla FC
Sevilla FC $420—Deportivo Alavés $2
Will FC Annecy win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $369—Yes $5
Spread: Heracles Almelo (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Roda JC Kerkrade
Roda JC Kerkrade $92—Heracles Almelo $265
Grenoble Foot 38 vs. Stade de Reims: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $51—Over $126
Dijon Football Côte d'Or vs. Red Star FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $120—Over $42
Will Almere City FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $103—Yes $41
Exact Score: Everton FC 1 - 0 Coventry City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $101—Yes $1
Spread: SK Rapid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus SK Rapid
Wolfsberger AC $65—SK Rapid $25
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $31—No $12
Will Grenoble Foot 38 vs. Stade de Reims end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $12—No $15
Will Standard Liege win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
Yes $16K—Yes $14K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $13K—No $3.9K
Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Coventry City FC
Everton FC $15K—Everton FC $995
Standard Liege vs. SK Beveren: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $6.5K—Over $7.8K
Will CA Unión win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $4.2K—No $9.4K
Standard Liege vs. SK Beveren: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9.4K—Over $1.8K
Exact Score: Everton FC 2 - 0 Coventry City FC?
same side · consensus No
No $9.6K—No $1.4K
Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $6.8K—No $3.4K
Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Everton FC
Everton FC $7.9K—Everton FC $2.2K
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $8.7K—No $617
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $8.0K—Under $161
Will Stade de Reims win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $3.5K—No $2.0K
Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.1K—Yes $1.3K