Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpGetrenektkeeptheblueflagflyinghighVirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)71% (2770–1157, n=3927)100% (3–0, n=3)48% (665–719, n=1384)88% (15–2, n=17)
Consensus PnL$526K$41K$856K$475K
Tracked asPM monthly #8was PM monthly #987PM monthly #14PM monthly #58
Sides with the consensus47% (50 of 106 open)no open consensus position64% (7 of 11 open)40% (2 of 5 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=564———
Settled positions, side won42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%—100% of 422 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%100% of 3 at avg 63¢, ROI +16%
Entries under 30¢42% (won 5% of 495)—5% (won 100% of 23)33% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 39% of 266)—34% (won 100% of 145)0%
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 134)—52% (won 100% of 219)0%
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 94% of 296)—8% (won 100% of 35)67% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpGetrenektkeeptheblueflagflyinghighVirIntrepidus
Sydney Kings vs. New Zealand Breakers
opposite sides · consensus Sydney Kings
New Zealand Breakers $2—Sydney Kings $6.9K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Falcons $174——Chiefs $6.1K
Kobe: Yuta Kikuchi vs Taisei Ichikawa
opposite sides · consensus Taisei Ichikawa
Taisei Ichikawa $5.3K—Yuta Kikuchi $388—
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
Mertens/Zhang $1.2K—Mertens/Zhang $9.3K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
Vikings $303——Vikings $5.8K
Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Melbourne Renegades
same side · consensus Sydney Sixers
Melbourne Renegades $327—Melbourne Renegades $42—
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
Cowboys $15——Cowboys $251
ICC Women's Emerging Nations Trophy T20s: Thailand Women vs Zimbabwe Women
same side · consensus Thailand Women
Thailand Women $9—Thailand Women $11—