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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Dor88FlaznorpprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)42% (18–25, n=43)52% (6569–6087, n=12656)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL-$30K$3.6M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #669PM monthly #10PM monthly #48PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position74% (100 of 136 open)56% (10 of 18 open)59% (46 of 78 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +3 pts n=17, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicSoccer −5 pts, n=27Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won48% of 44 at avg 49¢, ROI −4%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢59% (won 46% of 26)16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢41% (won 50% of 18)16% (won 62% of 260)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up0%39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDor88FlaznorpprimmRN1
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $157Florida Atlantic $41KFlorida Atlantic $21K
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
—Southern Miss $16Southern Miss $32Southern Miss $240
Spread: Jaguars (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
——Ravens $26KJaguars $19K
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 30.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $12KOver $10K
Spread: Jaguars (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $9.7KJaguars $7.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Spread: Suns (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Suns $4.3K—Magic $644
Spread: Suns (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Suns $3.7K—Magic $376
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Spread: Suns (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Magic $1.8K—Suns $1.1K
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $2.4KUTSA $302
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Spread: Magic (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Magic $1.2K—Suns $1.1K
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $670Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Spread: James Madison (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
——James Madison $1.4KSouthern Miss $268
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $281—Ipek Oz $698
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $560Jaguars $174
Spread: Magic (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Magic $18—Suns $236
W35 Hamamatsu: Kanon Sawashiro vs Mio Mushika
opposite sides · consensus Kanon Sawashiro
—Mio Mushika $2—Kanon Sawashiro $48
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Spread: Suns (-8.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $7.7K—Suns $835
Spread: Jaguars (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
——Ravens $230Ravens $1.8K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Xinxin Yao
same side · consensus Katie Swan
—Katie Swan $747—Katie Swan $1.1K
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
——Ravens $1.1KRavens $654
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $1.1K—Suns $258
South Florida Bulls vs. DePaul Blue Demons
same side · consensus DePaul Blue Demons
—DePaul Blue Demons $764—DePaul Blue Demons $474
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $502—Under $338
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $468—Heat $110
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $192
Spread: Suns (-4.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Magic $104—Magic $180
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $135—Warriors $87
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42
W100 Incheon: Han Shi vs Berfu Cengiz
same side · consensus Han Shi
—Han Shi $11—Han Shi $185