No settled consensus market yet · PM monthly #549 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$0
Source
PM monthly #549
Record (90 d)
17/36 · 47%
Trades
0
Markets
0
Volume
$0
Specialties
36 settled consensus markets · held side won 47% at an average entry of 49¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where Dor88's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Weakest: Soccer — held side won 45% of 20 at an average 49¢ entry (−4 pts against the price), ROI −1%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 58%(won 43% of 21)
- 50–70¢: 42%(won 53% of 15)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.