Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BuddhaYTorrancejoseph00677primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)96% (108–4, n=112)43% (10–13, n=23)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL$91K$3.3M$3.6M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #818PM monthly #7PM monthly #46PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position79% (11 of 14 open)67% (36 of 54 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 110 at avg 93¢, ROI +6%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢0%6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢1% (won 100% of 1)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up99% (won 99% of 109)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBuddhaYTorrancejoseph00677primmRN1
Buccaneers vs. Bears
opposite sides · consensus Bears
——Buccaneers $1.0KBears $16K
Spread: Bears (-16.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $9.0KBuccaneers $8.3K
Spread: Bears (-17.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $12KBuccaneers $2.3K
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 58.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $13KOver $676
Spread: Bears (-2.5)
same side · consensus Bears
——Bears $3.5KBears $414
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $86Buccaneers $2.4K
Spread: Bears (-3.5)
same side · consensus Bears
——Buccaneers $15Buccaneers $125