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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | rayvanmechelen | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 54% (2325–2004, n=4329) | 50% (19440–19510, n=38950) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $23K | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #1000 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (13 of 25 open) | 61% (25 of 41 open) | 58% (48 of 83 open) |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 98% of 988 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 2% (won 95% of 22) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 32% (won 98% of 321) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 51% (won 98% of 507) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 14% (won 98% of 138) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | rayvanmechelen | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $169 | Under $21K |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $19K | Pelicans $3 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Grizzlies $357 | Pacers $14 | — |
| Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-09-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $11 | No $734 |
| Will Mantova 1911 win on 2026-09-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $50 | No $357 |
| Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-09-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $11 | No $310 |
| Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-09-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $29 | No $101 |
| Will FC Astana win on 2026-09-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $2 | No $47 |
| Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $15 | Under $10 |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $6 | Under $2 |