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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | rayvanmechelen | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 53% (2557–2281, n=4838) | 50% (20622–20404, n=41026) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $4.8M | $9.7K | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #96 | was PM monthly #981 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 71% (56 of 79 open) | 60% (58 of 96 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 1044 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 2% (won 96% of 25) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 32% (won 98% of 337) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 51% (won 98% of 533) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 14% (won 97% of 149) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | rayvanmechelen | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Arsenal FC | — | Hull City AFC $7.4K | Arsenal FC $5 | — |
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $6.6K | Over $3 | — |
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $11 | Yes $757 |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona | — | — | SD Eibar $5 | CD Pamplona $6 |
| Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $7 | Yes $3 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | No $335K | — | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $302 | No $15K |
| Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $173 | Yes $6 |