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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | omnibus-076daa | RN1 | TheWindKnowsmyName | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (549–663, n=1212) | 50% (14961–15011, n=29972) | 47% (13283–14790, n=28073) | 79% (148–40, n=188) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $3.0M | $14.8M | -$57K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #60 | PM monthly #23 + pinned | was PM monthly #953 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (29 of 42 open) | 58% (81 of 139 open) | 45% (15 of 33 open) | 53% (139 of 260 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 92% of 11470 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 127 at avg 68¢, ROI +28% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 8% (won 60% of 899) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 9% (won 64% of 11) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 21% (won 87% of 2444) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 17% (won 95% of 21) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 39% (won 95% of 4418) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 14% (won 94% of 18) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 32% (won 99% of 3709) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 61% (won 99% of 77) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
15 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.