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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankomnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)50% (15434–15508, n=30942)47% (14055–15545, n=29600)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #60PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus76% (26 of 34 open)61% (96 of 157 open)56% (19 of 34 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankomnibus-076daaRN1
M25 Heraklion: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Benjamin Pietri
opposite sides · consensus Benjamin Pietri
—Benjamin Pietri $2.7KGilles Arnaud Bailly $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KOver $1.5K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.0KYes $154—
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Remy Bertola
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
—Remy Bertola $232Kilian Feldbausch $382
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig
opposite sides · consensus Matej Dodig
—Matej Dodig $96Tom Gentzsch $52
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $278KYes $3—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22KYes $117—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16KYes $215—
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Chun-Chien Hou
same side · consensus Coleman Wong
—Coleman Wong $241Coleman Wong $10K
Chennai Open: Simona Waltert vs Lucrezia Stefanini
same side · consensus Lucrezia Stefanini
—Lucrezia Stefanini $8Lucrezia Stefanini $3.8K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.4KYes $64—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0KYes $33—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea
—Mary Stoiana $332Mary Stoiana $561
W75 Petange: Jessika Ponchet vs Veronika Podrez
same side · consensus Veronika Podrez
—Veronika Podrez $76Veronika Podrez $263
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
same side · consensus Tiphanie Lemaitre
—Tiphanie Lemaitre $99Tiphanie Lemaitre $4
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28Yes $41—