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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankomnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4518–3301, n=7819)45% (573–710, n=1283)50% (15489–15580, n=31069)48% (14112–15590, n=29702)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$7.9M$3.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #68PM monthly #3PM monthly #63PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (16 of 24 open)81% (25 of 31 open)56% (71 of 126 open)51% (19 of 37 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)38% (won 95% of 4296)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankomnibus-076daaRN1
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5KNo $2.4KYes $167—
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $51K——
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Cecchinato
opposite sides · consensus Marco Cecchinato
——Thiago Monteiro $26Marco Cecchinato $18K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $1.6K
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $78Under $422—
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $11Yes $26
Magic vs. Suns
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $136K—Magic $265—
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.2KRavens $98K——
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $45No $72K——
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $52K—Yes $2.4K—
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Dplus KIA $33K—Dplus KIA $12K—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $25KYes $131—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $16KYes $223—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $11K—Over $32—
Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moeller
same side · consensus Joao Lucas Da Silva
——Joao Lucas Da Silva $1.0KJoao Lucas Da Silva $1.5K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.2KYes $60—
W35 Orlando, FL: Sloane Stephens vs Luciana Perry
same side · consensus Luciana Perry
——Sloane Stephens $6Sloane Stephens $2.2K
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.0KYes $59—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $81—Yes $418—
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 1 - 0 Clube do Remo?
same side · consensus No
——No $7No $359
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $28Yes $41—
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $28—Yes $20—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $22Over $18