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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankomnibus-076daaprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)50% (15597–15691, n=31288)50% (1116–1129, n=2245)48% (14234–15729, n=29963)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.1M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #140PM monthly #54PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)57% (79 of 139 open)no open consensus position52% (13 of 25 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)8% (won 60% of 874)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)21% (won 87% of 2384)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)38% (won 95% of 4296)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)33% (won 99% of 3716)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankomnibus-076daaprimmRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6K—Over $1.6K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4KYes $169——
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $8—Ipek Oz $659
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $25KYes $131——
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $18KYes $258——
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Polina Kudermetova
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
—Janice Tjen $127—Janice Tjen $13K
Taranto: Maxim Mrva vs Matteo Martineau
same side · consensus Matteo Martineau
—Matteo Martineau $1.1K—Matteo Martineau $4.6K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.2KYes $60——
W50 Heraklion: Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Martha MATOULA
same side · consensus Martha MATOULA
—Martha MATOULA $17—Martha MATOULA $1.8K
W50 Heraklion: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Nuria Brancaccio
same side · consensus Nuria Brancaccio
—Nuria Brancaccio $355—Nuria Brancaccio $1.3K
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0KYes $59——
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
same side · consensus Ivan Gakhov
—Ivan Gakhov $221—Ivan Gakhov $241
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28Yes $41——