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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | longliveapples | primm | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 60% (424–287, n=711) | 50% (1248–1260, n=2508) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $19K | $3.6M | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #873 | PM monthly #47 | PM monthly #72 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (37 of 43 open) | 74% (46 of 62 open) | 55% (6 of 11 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Esports −8 pts, n=25 | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 343 at avg 47¢, ROI +12% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 26% (won 28% of 88) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 33% (won 46% of 112) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 19% (won 82% of 65) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 23% (won 94% of 78) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | longliveapples | primm | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Texans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Chargers | Chargers $100K | — | Texans $7.2K | — |
| Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $14K | — | Under $1.4K | — |
| Spread: Texans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Chargers | Chargers $3.9K | — | Texans $2.0K | — |
| Packers vs. Patriots same side · consensus Packers | Packers $104K | — | Packers $68K | — |